Preseason Rankings
South Dakota St.
Summit League
2019-20
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.5#224
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace75.9#38
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-0.4#192
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-3.1#262
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.8% 11.6% 6.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.0 14.9 15.4
.500 or above 47.4% 57.4% 30.4%
.500 or above in Conference 58.3% 64.6% 47.4%
Conference Champion 11.5% 13.8% 7.5%
Last Place in Conference 9.8% 7.3% 14.1%
First Four2.5% 2.5% 2.6%
First Round8.7% 10.4% 5.6%
Second Round0.4% 0.6% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UT Rio Grande Valley (Home) - 63.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 33 - 63 - 11
Quad 412 - 515 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 230   UT Rio Grande Valley W 79-76 63%    
  Nov 09, 2019 197   @ Cal St. Bakersfield L 71-75 35%    
  Nov 12, 2019 64   @ USC L 73-88 9%    
  Nov 15, 2019 88   @ Nebraska L 69-81 13%    
  Nov 19, 2019 313   North Alabama W 80-71 78%    
  Nov 21, 2019 31   @ Arizona L 67-86 5%    
  Nov 24, 2019 353   Mississippi Valley W 86-68 94%    
  Nov 27, 2019 142   Samford L 80-81 45%    
  Nov 30, 2019 47   @ Indiana L 66-83 7%    
  Dec 05, 2019 279   @ Montana St. W 83-82 51%    
  Dec 10, 2019 179   @ Colorado St. L 75-80 34%    
  Dec 18, 2019 257   Florida Gulf Coast W 79-74 66%    
  Dec 21, 2019 338   Idaho W 80-68 84%    
  Dec 29, 2019 195   @ Nebraska Omaha L 77-81 35%    
  Jan 02, 2020 205   Oral Roberts W 80-78 57%    
  Jan 04, 2020 283   Western Illinois W 79-73 71%    
  Jan 08, 2020 305   @ Denver W 78-76 56%    
  Jan 11, 2020 241   @ Purdue Fort Wayne L 82-84 44%    
  Jan 15, 2020 262   North Dakota W 81-76 67%    
  Jan 19, 2020 165   @ South Dakota L 73-79 30%    
  Jan 22, 2020 153   North Dakota St. L 75-76 47%    
  Jan 29, 2020 205   @ Oral Roberts L 77-81 38%    
  Feb 01, 2020 283   @ Western Illinois W 76-75 52%    
  Feb 08, 2020 195   Nebraska Omaha W 80-78 56%    
  Feb 14, 2020 305   Denver W 81-73 75%    
  Feb 16, 2020 241   Purdue Fort Wayne W 85-81 62%    
  Feb 19, 2020 262   @ North Dakota L 78-79 47%    
  Feb 23, 2020 165   South Dakota L 75-76 49%    
  Feb 27, 2020 153   @ North Dakota St. L 72-79 29%    
Projected Record 14 - 15 8 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.6 3.1 3.1 2.1 0.9 0.3 11.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.7 3.2 4.7 3.0 0.9 0.1 12.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.8 4.3 5.5 2.2 0.3 0.0 13.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.9 4.6 5.8 1.7 0.2 13.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.9 5.0 5.7 1.5 0.1 13.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.9 4.2 4.9 1.3 0.1 11.4 6th
7th 0.1 1.2 3.8 4.0 1.1 0.0 10.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.4 3.1 2.8 0.9 0.0 8.6 8th
9th 0.2 0.7 1.6 1.9 1.1 0.4 0.0 6.0 9th
Total 0.2 0.7 1.9 3.5 5.4 7.9 10.1 11.9 12.5 12.4 10.8 8.7 6.5 4.0 2.2 0.9 0.3 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.3    0.3
15-1 100.0% 0.9    0.9 0.0
14-2 95.7% 2.1    1.8 0.3
13-3 76.0% 3.1    2.2 0.8 0.1
12-4 48.4% 3.1    1.4 1.4 0.3 0.0
11-5 18.6% 1.6    0.3 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0
10-6 3.0% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
9-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 11.5% 11.5 7.0 3.3 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.3% 62.1% 61.7% 0.4% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.0%
15-1 0.9% 49.9% 49.1% 0.9% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.5 1.7%
14-2 2.2% 40.5% 40.5% 0.0% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.1 1.3 0.1%
13-3 4.0% 30.1% 30.1% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.2 2.8
12-4 6.5% 22.5% 22.5% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.3 5.0
11-5 8.7% 16.5% 16.5% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 7.3
10-6 10.8% 12.9% 12.9% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.8 9.4
9-7 12.4% 9.3% 9.3% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.9 11.2
8-8 12.5% 6.5% 6.5% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.7 11.7
7-9 11.9% 3.5% 3.5% 16.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 11.5
6-10 10.1% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.0 0.2 9.8
5-11 7.9% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 0.1 7.9
4-12 5.4% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 5.4
3-13 3.5% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 3.5
2-14 1.9% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 1.9
1-15 0.7% 0.7
0-16 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 9.8% 9.7% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.8 1.6 2.9 4.3 90.2 0.0%